Sydney Today, April 4, Australian Eastern Time, a housing agency predicted that if building permits remain at the current level, the number of newly built houses will drop to the level of the 4 financial crisis.

澳洲房屋业协会(HIA)对房产行业季度数据研究指出:2011年12月在建房屋数量下降12.4%,为137820栋,2010年11月下跌5.6%。HIA指出:本地政府的建筑审批预示着新建房屋的数量将有低于2008南9月金融危机谷底的可能。

报告指出:如果住宅性建设持续目前的趋势的话,那么它将经历9年来的第七次下跌。而且有产生的结果可能在接下来12个月里持续产生影响。2010年的翻修行动使得该部门的数据有所上升,业主花费在升级他们房产上的费用为近300亿澳元;尽管从那时到去年年底有两个季度持续下跌,然而我们预测2013-2014年会有所上涨至304.1亿澳元。

Earlier this week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that building permits in February fell by 2%, the lowest in three years. Some other market signals are also uncertain. RP data reports that national house prices have been relatively stable this year. For example, Sydney house prices have risen while Melbourne has fallen. As Australians saw Europeans nearly collapsed due to the debts repaid by mortgages, and began to cut back on food and clothing, builders also suffered.

Partially optimistic
该报告对新南威尔士州和昆士兰州的房产市场的恢复持乐观态度,但这必须建立在两个州政府对房产市场政策的正确调整的基础上。若调整得当,我们预计昆士兰州的新建房屋数量在2012-2013年期间增加17%,2013-2014年期间增加14%;达到33850栋。维多利亚州每季度比新南威尔士州新建房屋数量多70%—尽管新南威尔士州的人口在迅速增长。2011年维多利亚州建的房屋量占澳洲总量的40%,而人口只占26%。

Concerns about the prospects of the housing market prompted HIA to call on the government to cut interest rates and adjust policies. It pointed out that the current real estate market supply is insufficient to meet the needs of the population and the continued decline in the number of newly built houses indicate that the current housing market policy is unreasonable. Everyone should have a full understanding of this. Only in this way can we avoid the destructive economic and social impact caused by this as much as possible.

But some other industry experts believe that further lower interest rates will not alleviate the housing predicament. Fujitsu Australia’s chief executive Martin North said last week: “Years of excessive speculation in lending activities will reduce consumer confidence, house prices and market activity in the long term. Past attempts to stimulate the market have not had a positive impact in the long term.” (Wendy)

English version: http://smh.domain.com.au/real-estate-news/hia-worse-to-come-on-home-building-front-20120404-1wc75.html