A researcher from the US Think Tank published an article in the journal "National Interest"——
Washington's biggest strategic mistake: At the same time blame China and Russia
Ted Carpenter, a senior researcher at the Cato Institute, a US think tank, recently published a review article entitled "Washington's Greatest Strategic Mistake" in the journal National Interest, stating that Washington is on the verge of making critical mistakes on foreign policy issues. : Simultaneously "invite grievances" to the two big countries, China and Russia.
Bilateral relations with China and Russia reach "alarm level"
Carpenter believes that in the past year or so, Washington's bilateral relations with Moscow and Beijing have reached the "alarm level." This movement may create huge geopolitical troubles for Washington unless the Barack Obama regime takes timely corrective measures and determines more coherent priorities.
The article said that previously, U.S.-Russian relations have been frictionless due to issues such as Syria and Iran. This year's Crimean crisis has made U.S.-Russian relations even more frozen. "The hostility of discourse from Washington and Moscow is unprecedented since the end of the Cold War." Not only the words are relative, the United States has also deployed troops to NATO member states in Eastern Europe in an attempt to suppress "Russian expansionist trends"; the US foreign policy development team The hawks in China even publicly advocated sending troops directly to Ukraine with military assistance.
In terms of relations with China, Carpenter believes that the relationship between Washington and Beijing has become significantly more controversial. This was particularly prominent when US Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel visited China in early April.
"The U.S. position on a series of issues is increasingly annoying China. In particular, Washington's position is particularly dissatisfied with regard to the controversial issues between China and neighboring countries in the South China Sea and the East China Sea. From Beijing's perspective, Obama What the regime shows is the botched support of the United States for countries such as Japan and the Philippines."
Washington's approach may push China and Russia closer
Carpenter said that from the perspective of US national interests, the continued deterioration of US-China-Russia relations is far from "a little disturbing." This relationship broke the important warning of former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger during the Cold War. Kissinger emphasized the basic principles of geopolitics in the first volume of his memoir "The Years in the White House" published in 1979: "Our relationship with potential opponents should be like this: we give each of them the right to choose. They have greater choice among each other."
The Nixon administration's promotion of the restoration of normal relations between the United States and China is a reflection of Kissinger's theory. Carpenter further interpreted: “According to Kissinger’s theory, the United States should take measures to ensure that the relationship between Washington and Beijing and Washington and Moscow is always closer than the relationship between them. This was a good strategy at the time. It’s also a good strategy."
However, the article said, “The clumsy foreign policy of the Obama regime may give birth to a different and even more unpleasant situation. Washington’s approach may only bring Russia and China closer and let them put aside their differences... American pressure and concerns".
Only one opponent can be selected at most
Carpenter said that China and Russia voted against a UN Security Council draft resolution involving Syria. Susan Rice, then U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, then talked about "disgusting", "shameful" and "unforgivable." ", "It is not surprising that such an attitude aroused sharp rebuke from Moscow and Beijing."
Regarding the current US foreign policy, Carpenter believes that the most ideal choice is to repair relations with the two countries. "Even if the officials of the Obama regime cannot be accepted by both sides at the same time, they can at most choose one as their designated opponent instead of blaming both governments at the same time."
Carpenter said that the US government should clarify its policy priorities and make choices. "There are no simple answers to these questions," Carpenter said. "Making such a complex assessment is a challenge that must be faced before any effective foreign policy can be formulated. To avoid this question and risk both Moscow and Beijing as opponents... Choose wisely. Going down this path will only encounter setbacks and potential disasters."