• 前言
  • Wildfires, heavy rains, floods... power outages may only require one reason
  • As the climate warms up year by year, Australia's increasingly fragile power supply infrastructure
  • "Do it or not, it's a question"
  • Conclusion

前言
Australia is undoubtedly one of the most expensive countries in the world.
Liberal Party Member Craig Kelly pointed out sharply in Parliament at the end of 2016 that “Australians pay twice as much electricity as Americans.”
Keller further cited relevant data from the 2015 “Australian Residents’ Electricity Rate Trend Report” and “U.S. Electricity Information Management Report” as supplementary support for this conclusion, that is, in Australia, residents pay an average of AUD 0.287/kWh for electricity; But in the United States, it is only US$0.104 (A$0.141)/kWh.

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Wildfires, heavy rains, floods... power outages may only require one reason

On February 2, perhaps the most rainy weekend in Sydney in the past three decades, more than 9 households suffered a collective power outage during the raging storm.Last weekend, people in Sydney, Newcastle, Central Coast and other places suffered power outages during heavy rains. Source:[Email protected]
Power distributor Ausgrid said that as of the afternoon of Tuesday, February 2, although most of the power supply has been restored, there are still 11 households and businesses currently experiencing power outages.

Source: Chris Lawless

Not only that, in the seemingly inexhaustible wildfires in the past month, in NSW, Victoria, Queensland, South Australia and the Territory, too many families have endured power outages for hours or even days.
Why in our impression, Australian power facilities seem to be becoming more and more vulnerable in the face of natural disasters?
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As the climate warms up year by year, Australia's increasingly fragile power supply infrastructure

In fact, with the intensification of global warming, the pressure on Australia's power supply system is indeed increasing.
Australia’s summer is undoubtedly getting hotter and hotter:
According to a report released by the Australian Climate Association in 2019, since 1910, the average temperature in Australia has risen by about 1.1°C, of ​​which there has been a significant increase after 1950; at the same time, the number of hot days in 2019 is also higher than that in 1960 Doubled
According to an analysis by the Australian National University research team led by Sophie Lewis, Sydney and Melbourne will usher in a summer of more than 50°C in the next few decades.

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"Do it or not, it's a question"

I don’t know if anyone remembers the large-scale power outages that occurred in NSW and Queensland in 2004. The harshness of the incident at that time led the state governments to increase the reliability of grid transmission standards-of course, this also brought up to 180 billion Australian dollars of grid overruns, although the increase in network reliability was still very limited.
In fact, in the past ten years, the cost of the grid has actually been the biggest reason for the increase in electricity prices for residents in these states:
The increase in electricity bills in NSW is more than 50% higher than inflation, while the increase in southeastern Queensland is even more than 70%


So for users, are they really willing to pay more to reduce the possibility of power outages?
In fact, according to research by Australian electricity consumers, more consumers are actually satisfied with the reliability of the current electricity supply than they need to pay for this change.
Although it sounds absurd, for Australia's power supply infrastructure system, sometimes the real problem may even be not because of "not doing", but because of "doing too much." Especially for state-owned power distributors, the expansion of substation capacity in the past few years has far exceeded the growth of demand-but during this period, demand has hardly changed or even been lower than before.
And if you analyze this industry from a more specific perspective, the increase in Australia’s peak electricity demand from 2006 to 2013 is actually equivalent toThe amount of electricity required for each person to use 1 old incandescent bulb;
However, state-owned power distributors have expanded their substation capacity by quite a lot.100Degree of light bulb
Although private power distributors are not so exaggerated, they have increased the capacity of their substations by approximately the equivalent of everyone30light bulb.
——This is exactly why,On the one hand, we watched that the figures on the electricity bills are rising, but on the other hand, the overpayment seems to have made electricity distributors "useless".
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END__

In this context, it is hard not to despair of Australia's energy policy.
Although many people have made courageous attempts to this end, the half-truths, intricate interest chains, conflicts of mainstream ideologies, and wishful idealism still deeply influence this. The political outlook and management pattern of the industry.
After all, for most politicians and industry leaders who dominate this industry, they can easily escape this invisible "net" by installing solar panels and battery power.
Those who cannot escape will only be the poorest and most helpless Australian families.