Australia-Analysis: Conflict in Washington, Canberra waits and sees amidst anxiety and fear-Chinatown, Australia

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The chaos and violence in Washington stunned the politicians and officials in Canberra.They feel angry, incredible and scared.

People wearing suits and face masks take cover under chairs while others hold up mobile phones in a seated hall.

When an armed mob of Trump supporters stormed the U.S. Capitol, people hid in the House of Representatives.

AP: Andrew Harnik

The chaos and violence in Washington stunned Canberra's politicians and officials.

感到愤怒、不可思议和恐惧。

It is not certain what the consequences of what happened in the US Congress on January 1 will have on our great friend and ally.

People are almost horrified about what will happen to the current US President Trump in the last 12 days of the White House.

On Thursday (January 1), Australians woke up early in the morning and found that social media and TV were flooded with live footage of the chaotic scene of the U.S. Capitol. U.S. senators and members of Congress hid behind the door, and armed protesters wrecked the building. In the office, he took selfies in various strange poses.

Police with guns drawn watch as protesters try to break into the House Chamber at the US Capitol
When the protesters tried to break into the House of Representatives of the U.S. Capitol, the police were on guard with guns.
(AP: J Scott Applewhite)

Canberra's foreign policy professionals and parliamentarians responded quickly.

"I can't believe what I have seen," an Australian official messaged me.

"It's appalling, it's terrible," a member of Parliament wrote.

"It's too bad," another MP said in a text message.

Backbenchers from both parties also condemned this crazy behavior on social media.

Video Player failed to load.

Trump supporters scuffle with police outside the Capitol building.

Trump supporters fought with the police outside the Capitol.

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Trump supporters fought with the police outside the Capitol. (
ABC News
)

前外交官、自由党议员戴夫·夏尔马(Dave Sharma)写道:“鲁莽的政治领导人煽动了一场不光彩的、可耻的暴力事件,企图推翻选举,这样做违反了民主的基本原则。”

"As President-elect Biden said, this is not a protest — this is a riot, a dark and shameful day."

澳大利亚外交政策分析师和专家的圈子也感到深深的震惊,试图弄清楚这种“政治疯狂”会带来什么样的后果,数以百万计的美国人似乎已经陷入这种疯狂之中。

Allan Gyngell, a former head of Australian intelligence and a senior official, has been following American politics for decades, but he admitted without hesitation that he was a little surprised by what happened on Thursday morning.

"I never thought that something like this would happen in Washington," Mr. Ginger said.

Ginger now believes that there is evidence that Trump, who is increasingly weird, has "differed from reality."

Trumpism will continue to exist in a divided America

Trump was banned by social media sites for inciting violence, and some people called for his impeachment under the 25th Amendment. (Annotation: The amendment supplements Article XNUMX of the U.S. Constitution regarding the president’s succession procedures when he loses his power and ability to perform duties) , And even forced him to step down.

Regarding what happened, Mr. Ginger said lightly that it was "quite extraordinary."

Even assuming that there is no greater chaos and President-elect Joe Biden successfully took office on January 1, greater problems still exist.

Trump may leave the White House soon, but "Trumpism" will continue.

Supporters, including a child in a Trump costume, cheer as President Donald Trump arrives to speak at a campaign rally
Political polarization is threatening the democratic fabric of the United States.
(AP: Alex Brandon)

Political polarization is now evolving into something close to massive radicalization, threatening the democratic fabric of the United States.

Many Americans now seem to be entangled in a huge ecosystem of malicious false information incited by nativism, conspiracy theories, and bigotry.

"The allies of the United States will welcome the arrival of Biden... But if you think that this enthusiasm has not faded, and we may see Trumpism coming back out of the arena in four years, how can you rely on the United States ?" Mr. Ginger asked.

"Can Australia now look forward to seeing the United States as we know it again? Or will we see the return of Trumpism in four years, whether it is Trump himself or someone like him?"

In any case, the next four years of Biden's administration will hardly be a panacea to save the United States.

The U.S. remains Australia’s most important global ally

The White House
The deep political differences that exist in Washington and the entire United States will continue.
(Reuters: John Pryke)

特朗普统治美国的四年是变幻莫测的四年,接下来澳大利亚政府将欣慰地看到一个称职且熟悉的美国外交政策官员重返白宫。

But the deep political differences between Washington and the entire United States will inevitably weaken the energy and political capital of the new government.

国会的骚动——以及大约一半的共和党核心成员仍然坚持要拜登的当选,即使在特朗普引发混乱之后——这清楚地说明了拜登政府将面临多么大的.

Ginger said that foreign policy will inevitably become its "secondary issue" as the Biden administration strives to resolve domestic issues.

"不会有太多时间考虑世界其他地方。应对新冠疫情、应对经济、应对政治系统的功能障碍,将需要巨大的精力和努力,”他说。

那么,美国声望的损害会破坏新政府在恢复多边外交的努力吗?拜登政府是否会有意愿或会着眼于重建一个对于制衡正在重新崛起且日益独裁的中国来讲十分重要的区域联盟?

These [for Australia] are thorny and worrying questions, the kind of question where you better not pose to a country that is not only your security bastion but also your most important global ally.

Trump and Morrison greet each other outside the White House
Since the U.S. Capitol riots, Morrison has not directly criticized Trump.
(AP: Susan Walsh)

迄今为止,莫里森一直温和,一再表达他对华盛顿暴力事件的焦虑和担忧,但同时强调他对美国机制的信任,并小心翼翼地不直接批评特朗普。

"I have no right to comment on other leaders. I did this out of respect for these countries," he told reporters in Canberra.

“我对美国发生的事情表示极大的关切和悲痛,就像世界其他民主国家的领导人一样,我同意的观点。”

Some Labour MPs quickly stated that Morrison’s response was weak and accused him of getting too close to the US President.

但政府内部人士指出,很少有世界领导人真正直接地谴责特朗普。认为,如果澳大利亚卷入美国的恶性党派争斗,它将一无所获。

Another question is whether the Australian Parliament is susceptible to the political morbidity suffered by the United States.

The Labor Party has repeatedly attacked a handful of Liberal-National Party ruling coalition members who spread some conspiracy theories in support of Trump that have been circulating online.

On Thursday, reporters asked Morrison whether he would condemn backbenchers for spreading false statements about the theft of votes in the US election.

Morrison did not directly answer this question, but simply said that Australia is a country with free speech.

Shadow Attorney General Mark Dreyfus (Mark Dreyfus) made a sharp response to this. He said that the Prime Minister’s response to the Australian Post Office’s disclosure of the purchase of Cartier watches for its executives was more than the response to misinformation circulating in the country. strong.

"Morrison is angry at Cartier Watch, but has nothing to say about the dangerous and baseless conspiracy theories spread by backbenchers in the ruling coalition," Dreyfus said in a statement.

尽管外交政策观察家不相信困扰美国的虚假信息宣传也会在澳大利亚找到滋生的土壤,但依然保持着警惕。

As a source said when the US Capitol was in chaos on Thursday-"We need to monitor this situation very, very closely."

"Given the [information] ecosystem we have now, things can change in a flash."

"We are not America, but we need to pay attention."

 

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