Australia-CBA house price forecast: Sydney, Melbourne house price growth is not as good as other states and territories-Australia Chinatown | Domestic and foreign current affairs news | Finance and Economics | Education | Real estate investment

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由于较低水平的海外移民人数和强劲的租赁市场,未来两年悉尼和墨尔本的房价增长将比其他州和领地更为缓慢。 “我们对悉尼和墨尔本房地产价格的基本预测是,2021年,其房地产价格将分别上涨7.5%和7%,”联邦银行(Commonwealth Bank)澳大利亚经济负责人Gareth Aird 表示。 据CBA的数字,布里斯班的独立屋价格预计到2022年12月将增长16.6%,而悉尼增幅为13.7%,…
    由于较低水平的海外移民人数和强劲的租赁市场,未来两年悉尼和墨尔本的房价增长将比其他州和领地更为缓慢。

“我们对悉尼和墨尔本房地产价格的基本预测是,2021年,其房地产价格将分别上涨7.5%和7%,”联邦银行(Commonwealth Bank)澳大利亚经济负责人Gareth Aird 表示。

据CBA的数字,布里斯班的独立屋价格预计到2022年12月将增长16.6%,而悉尼增幅为13.7%,墨尔本为12.4%,珀斯将增长17.7%,而达尔文将以18.7%的增长率领先全国。

Aird先生表示,澳大利亚正处于房地产市场繁荣的风口,过去六个月的新贷款大幅增加。

“按揭贷款利率创历史新低,再加上劳动力市场呈V型复苏,从而推动了地产繁荣。”他说。

“短期来看,借贷利率是房价的最大推动力,仍低于澳大利亚大多数市场的房地产收益率。”

Aird 先生表示,COVID-19对房产价格的负面影响实际上比几乎任何预测人士所预期的都要弱。

“过去三个月,所有州府城市的房价都在上涨,”Aird先生表示: “ 2020年下半年,新贷款的快速增长强于我们的预期,现在,这种新贷款正在为砖瓦和砂浆的价格上涨提供动力。”

他说,虽然低按揭贷款利率对房价的影响预计将在2022年减弱,但随着国际边界的重新开放,人口增长的提速将推动住房的基本需求。

昆士兰州也正在经历新的住房热潮,预计今年将建造近30,000套新住房,比去年4月时——在政府采取诸如HomeBuilder之类的刺激措施之前——预测高出近60%。

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