Australia-WSB Forum "New Slogan": Launching the Largest Silver Shortage in History | Australia Chinatown

Release your eyes, put on headphones, and listen~!
Introduction: "Even if you don’t care about earnings, imagine that a major firm like JPMorgan Chase might close down due to short-term shorts. This is exciting enough

导读:“即便你不在乎收益,想想像摩根大通这样的大行可能因逼空而倒闭,这就足以激动人心”。

在市场高度关注GameStop的逼空之际,WallStreetBets论坛散户们开始把目光瞄准新的逼空目标:.

A retail investor with the user name "jjalj30" in the post called on retail investors to focus on silver in the next round of squeeze.

"Jjalj30" said that the silver market is currently one of the most manipulated markets in the world.Dozens of banks manipulated the prices of gold and silver to cover up actual inflation.Whether in the industrial field or in the currency field, the current release of water by global central banks should push up the price of silver.The inflation-adjusted silver price should be $1000 per ounce instead of the current $25 per ounce.

"Jjalj30" believes that retail investors can continue to buy silver ETF (SLV) to short-sell and push up the price of silver.Even if retail investors don't care about earnings, it is exciting to think that a big bank like JPMorgan Chase (previously paying huge fines for silver price operations) may go bankrupt due to short-selling.

01

“史上最大的白银逼空”

Retail investors with the username "TheHappyHawaiian" also expressed similar views, calling on WallStreetBets retail investors to "launch the largest silver short in history."

"TheHappyHawaiian" said that the manipulation of silver prices through naked short sales in the market is mainly based on several Wall Street firms represented by JPMorgan Chase.At present, the average ratio of silver to physical silver traded on the silver futures market is 250:1, which means that most transactions are settled by cash rather than physical delivery.

As long as retail investors can force more futures contracts for physical delivery, they can squeeze short silver positions.

考虑目前纽约商品交易所的实物保管库中并没有足够多的现货白银,投资者可以通过持续买入白银ETF(SLV)及相关看涨期权来进行逼空。最终目标是手上拥有实物白银,并且不卖给他们,这样白银价格就会因供不应求而越来越高。

如果期货合约中空方没有办法交付实物银,那空方只能选择将期货合约转手给下一个人或在市场上买入白银,这将大幅推高白银价格。与股票不同,白银无法通过增发增加供给,实物白银不可能凭空出现。如果出现供应紧张,那么现在投资白银4个月的收益就相当于过去40年收益的总和。

02

白银ETF流入金额大涨

多篇帖子发出后,WallStreetBets论坛上的用户也进行了积极回应。

市场数据显示,白银ETF(SLV)上周五单日流入资金高达10亿美元,这几乎是这个已有15年历史ETF此前最高流入记录的2倍。

image

这促使SLV价格从周三低点反弹超11%。

image

但与此同时,对于白银ETF(SLV)的做空比率也在上涨。

image

03

长期恐难持久

但BullionVault研究部主管Adrian Ash表示,当大量资金突然涌入某些衍生性金融商品,确实会导致价格骤升。

但WallStreetBets散户对白银的轧空并不会如想象的简单。

Ash表示,与GameStop股票不同,整个市场上白银实物库存是日均交易量的三倍,即便不考虑存储成本,想要通过囤积居奇来推高银价也并不容易。

历史上,Hunt Brothers通过囤积实物白银推高价格的做法最终也以失败而告终:他们花了近10年建立库存,1980年将银价一路推升至每突破50美元,之后却因为COMEX采取历史性干预行动,银价暴跌,最终破产。

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