爽呆！貌似全澳洲都在向华人拜年！为了这个春节，澳洲确实尽力了

对于14亿人来说，下周一是一年之中最盛大的节日，悉尼先驱晨报特此恭祝大家新年好！向86.6万华裔道一声恭喜发财！祝每一个从中国的创新、活力、和独创中得到益处的朋友们，新年快乐！如果你是一个喝茶，打伞，使用钞票的人，你就是一个中华文明的受惠者。

To the 1.4 billion people for whom Monday marks the start of the biggest celebration of the year, Xinnian Hao from the Herald. To the 866,000 Australians of Chinese ancestry, Gongxi Facai. To everyone who has reaped the benefits of Chinese enterprise, energy and ingenuity, Happy New Year. If you drink tea, carry an umbrella or use bank notes, that means you.

根据中国的属相，猴年出生的人（12年为一轮，即2004年、1992年、1980年等）聪明、好奇心强、淘气，同时他们也是狡猾和傲慢的。

By the Chinese zodiac, people born in this Year of the Monkey or any years counting back by 12 from here (2004, 1992, 1980 etc) are clever, curious and mischievous, but also cunning and arrogant.

属猴的人本应是幸运的，然而也有些人认为猴年是历法中最不幸的年份之一。由于中国过去的非凡成功和全球影响力的扩大，全世界的人们都希望他们关于今年中国经济的猜想是错误的。

They are meant to be lucky, yet on some interpretations it’s one of the unluckiest years in the calendar. Thanks to China’s extraordinary success and growing global influence, people the world over are hoping that proves wrong for the Chinese economy this year.

在上一个猴年（2004年），有谁能够预测到中国股市在2016年足以将自己的不安情绪蔓延到全球？人们称之为中国经济奇迹：从一个70年代后期贫穷的共产主义国家到实现连续三十年的9.8%年均增长，同时创造了多个钢筋和玻璃铸成的超大型现代都市，并帮助几亿人脱贫。

Who would have predicted, in the last Year of the Monkey (2004), that by 2016 the Chinese stockmarket would matter enough to spread its jitters to the rest of the world? They call it the Chinese economic miracle: from an impoverished Communist nation in the late 1970s through three decades of 9.8 per cent average growth a year, along the way creating multiple modern megacities of glass and steel and lifting hundreds of millions of people out of poverty.

澳大利亚人比其他人更懂得这个故事。我们和中国的交往可以追溯到17世纪，当时来自苏拉威西岛的望加锡渔民们和来自澳大利亚北部的尤卢人进行贸易，收购干海参并将它们运往中国。后来，几艘来自第一舰队的船只在驶回英国的途中, 为了装上中国产的商品拜访了广东。

Australians know the story perhaps better than most. Our links with China go back as far as the 1600s, when Makassan fishers from Sulawesi traded with the Yolngu people of northern Australia, collecting trepang (sea cucumber) and shipping it to China. Later, several ships of the First Fleet called in at Canton (Guangdong) on the way back to England to reload with Chinese goods.

从19世纪40年代的包身工和矿工，到一个世纪后的木匠、菜农、餐馆老板，到今天的医生、律师、科学家、以及企业家，来自中国的移民超越了语言的障碍，文化的差异，和赤裸裸的歧视，已成为我们最成功的族群之一。中文也取代意大利语，成为了英语之外澳大利亚最常用语言。

Chinese migrants – from indentured labourers and miners from the 1840s to cabinet makers, market gardeners and restauranteurs a century later and the doctors, lawyers, scientists and entrepreneurs of today – have prevailed through language barriers, cultural differences and outright discrimination to emerge as one of the most successful of all our communities. Mandarin has surpassed Italian as the most-spoken language in Australia after English.

自从惠特拉姆政府在1973年恢复对华外交关系之后，对华贸易已经上升到每年1500亿澳元的规模，特别是在我们的四大经济领域，即矿业、教育、旅游和农业。中国目前是我们最大的贸易伙伴，最大的进口来源国，以及最大的出口市场。

Since diplomatic ties were resumed by the Whitlam government in 1973, trade with China, especially in the four largest sectors of our economy – mining, education, tourism and agriculture – has escalated to a value of $150 billion a year. China is now our largest trading partner, our biggest source of merchandise imports and largest export market.

所以中国的挑战既是我们的挑战，也是全世界的挑战。野蛮增长的时代可能已经结束，但是中国的领导者们面临一个艰巨的任务，即如何实现缓慢而稳定增长的软着陆。中国要从投资和出口导向的经济转变为内需拉动的经济体，有一些基本的问题需要处理，如制造业产能过剩、大规模债务、以及急速的人口结构变化等。在干预市场或让市场主导之中找到平衡，中国的领导人们将面临一场考验。

So China’s challenges are challenges for us, and the world. The days of pell-mell growth may be over but China’s leaders face a formidable task in engineering a soft landing with slower but steady growth. There are fundamental problems of manufacturing overcapacity, massive debt levels and a rapid demographic change to be dealt with as it transitions from an investment- and export-led economy towards one based on domestic consumption. In finding the right balance between intervening and letting the markets do their thing, the Chinese leadership will be tested.

令人欣慰的是世界第二大经济体和最大出口国不再寻求出口革命。相反，它展现出了愿意在现有的国际秩序框架内活动的意愿，毕竟它为此进行了大量投入，通过世界贸易组织会员资格，作为联合国安理会中派出维和人员最多的国家，作为与美国历史性环保协议的签署国，作为今年20国峰会的主办国。

Thankfully the world’s second biggest economy and biggest exporter no longer seeks to export revolution. Instead it has demonstrated willingness to work within the existing global order in which it is, after all, heavily invested: through membership of the World Trade Organisation, as supplier of more peacekeeping forces than any other member of the UN Security Council, as signatory to a ground-breaking environmental accord with the US, and as a future host of the G20.

相较于其他地区，中国在我们地区行使越来越大的威望和影响力。前年11月在澳大利亚联邦议会发表演讲时，习近平主席表示中国是人群中的”大块头”。它正寻求在平等的基础上与美国分享权利的”新模式”。

In our region more than anywhere else China is leveraging its growing prestige and clout. President Xi Jinping told Australia’s parliament last November China now sees itself as “the big guy” in Asia. It seeks a “new model” of sharing power on a more equal basis with the US.

我们盼望中国言行一致，成为一支维护和平和稳定的力量。这也是我们对美国的期待。在让朝鲜停止无赖般的国家核冒险主义问题上，我们更需要中国去进行对话。

We look to China to match actions with words, to be a force for peace and stability. It’s no more than we expect of the US. We need China more than any other country to keep North Korea talking in the hope of reining in the rogue state’s nuclear adventurism

有时，中国似乎会越过主张和侵犯的边界线，比如在南海南沙群岛的珊瑚礁和岛屿上建造军事基地。要成为其所追求的”负责任的大国”，中国不仅要”言其言”，而且要”行其言”。而且，在中国讲话的时候，作为真正的朋友，我们应该保持对话和回话。

Sometimes China seems to cross the line between assertion and aggression, such as by building military bases on reclaimed reefs in the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea. To claim the “responsible great power” status it aspires to, it needs to walk the walk as well as talk the talk. And when China’s talking, we should listen carefully and keep talking back, as true friends do.

悉尼先驱晨报希望你能在猴年得到美猴王的能量：一个筋斗十万八千里，兼72变混世才学，具八十一种创业本领。新年好！

So from the Herald, we wish you the powers of the Monkey King himself for the year ahead: a somersault of 9000 kilometres, 72 simultaneous transformations in scholarliness, and 81 kinds of creative skill. Xinnian Hao